FL is an odd state that doesn’t correlate well with other states, but I’m particularly worried about the numbers in Sumter County (home of the Villages). I’m wondering if senior % for Biden will hold up elsewhere vis a vis polling before today. Also, don’t forget that in 2018, FL went against the political grain – it trended more GOP that year while almost everywhere else trended DEM.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-florida-president.html