Comments by selected states:
1. Iowa – Need to agree with Selzer here until proven otherwise.
2. Maine – Collins seems to have made it closer of late, but Maine seems to be breaking particularly well for Biden (perhaps because it’s the oldest state in the country, and seniors are breaking much better for Biden around the country), and I’m imagining that people going for Biden will also go for Gideon.
3. Georgia – Think both will go to runoffs, but very much like the trajectory over the past few weeks on both of these races. Watch Warnock as a future DEM leader assuming he wins.
4. North Carolina – Cunningham has led despite his scandal; this is a coin flip, and I’d in no way be surprised if he wins in the end.